ACT U.S. Freight Composite
Q/Q at SAAR, Y/Y
Q1' 97 - Q4' 11(Actual through Q2' 10)
of these drivers is moving toward
increased demand. The average age
of the Class 8 population is expected
to be 6. 7 years at the end of 2010, the
highest on record. Extending the life
too long can have tax impacts as the
loss of depreciation expense can negatively impact company cash flow.
While the overall economy is recov-
ering very slowly, “freight economy”
growth has been strong. The ACT
Freight Composite measures the
Source: ACT Research Co., LLC: Copyright 2010
1234123412341234123412341234123412341234123412341234123412341234
96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
0
4
8
12
16
- 4
- 8
- 12
- 16
- 20
Percent Change
- 8.8% + 7.0%
ANN. AVG.
+ 4.5%
components of GDP that influence
freight. Q/Q SAAR growth was near
10% during the first half of 2010.
Growth is expected to moderate in the
second half before returning to near
5% growth in 2011.
Trucker profitability, especially in
the large for-hire truckload sector,
was very healthy in the second quar-
ter and projections through 2011 look
promising. Net margins for a group
of 11 large, publicly traded carriers
increased to 4.5% in the second quar-
ter of 2010, the highest level in three
years. Profits have improved largely
due to tightening capacity, which has
allowed freight rates to rise.
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